Kansas Mesonet Animal Comfort Tool Monitors Current and Forecasted Livestock Conditions

Summer brings heat, often amplified by humidity. Recent rains across the state and more in the short-term forecast (Figure 1), much of it in drought-stricken regions, have increased atmospheric and surface moisture. When we factor in warmer-than-normal temperatures, especially at night, heat stress can rapidly develop in humans and animals alike. It's been nearly four years since a major cattle loss event occurred in southwest Kansas. This marked a time when producers were caught off guard by a sudden transition from cool/wet to hot conditions.

Map of US showing short term precipitation forecast

Figure 1. Seven-day estimated precipitation for June 10-17, 2026, from the Weather Prediction Center (https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov).

When heat stress develops under hot, sunny, and humid conditions, more proactive steps are required to prevent illness. This is compounded when heat-stress values remain elevated for long periods and when cattle have not been exposed to cooler conditions, without the ability to acclimate. Of special importance is the animal’s ability to recover at night. High overnight temperatures prevent the body from recovering from the previous day’s heat and can compound the next day’s stress if left unmitigated.

The Kansas Mesonet's Animal Comfort Tool tracks current heat stress values in real time and looks ahead to the 7-day forecast, helping farmers stay one step ahead of potential issues.

Users can access this tool from the main Mesonet page (https://mesonet.k-state.edu/) by selecting “Agriculture” from the drop-down menu on the top left of every page and then “Comfort Index” (Figure 2). Also, users can access the tool directly from this link: http://mesonet.k-state.edu/agriculture/animal/

Landing page for the Animal Comfort Index tool

Figure 2. Screenshot of the menu path to the Animal Comfort Index page on the Kansas Mesonet.

Utilizing the Forecast Animal Comfort Index

This product utilizes the National Weather Service hourly forecast (averaged over the hour, meaning extremes could be slightly more) for the next seven days. This data, consisting of solar, wind, temperature, and humidity, is utilized in the Comprehensive Comfort Index equation from the University of Nebraska. The ability to handle both hot and cold extremes provides a year-round product to increase producer awareness in advance of critical weather. Data is displayed on a graph and a summarized table (Figure 3), allowing quick analysis of conditions on desktop and mobile browsers in an easy-to-read format.

Forecast report for Hays KS

Figure 3. The Animal Comfort Forecast in advance of increased warmth this coming weekend and into early next week. The selected location is Hays.

It is important to note that the forecast is only a guidance product. Forecasts are subject to change, and conditions could vary significantly based on numerous external factors. Actual animal response to temperature stress will depend on several factors not accounted for in the index. Those include but are not limited to age, hair coat (winter vs. summer; wet vs. dry), health, body condition, micro-environment, and acclimatization. Additionally, recent moisture can result in mud, increasing livestock stress levels.

Important note: The National Weather Service forecasts hourly average values rather than extremes. In addition, fluctuations in cloud cover (which affects solar radiation) and wind speed have a large effect on comfort levels. Producers should recognize that localized conditions may be significantly warmer/cooler than the predicted comfort index.

Tracking Conditions with Current Data

One of the most basic ways to verify a forecast is to look at current conditions. The original Animal Comfort product remains to allow producers to see the real-time weather stress at the nearest Mesonet location. This displays both the current data up to (fifteen-minute intervals).

Users can scroll down the page and view the previous seven days' hourly data on the “Chart” (Figure 4). This is particularly useful for producers that suffered loss and want to capture the conditions that took place in the previous week. You can also download the data in a comma-delimited form for use in Excel or similar software. This can be found under the “Download” tab.

No historical data download is available beyond the last seven days, so this information must be captured quickly.

Past 7 days of cattle comfort for Hays, KS

Figure 4. Animal Comfort Index history at the Mesonet station in Hays. Graphic from Kansas Mesonet.

The displayed data does not account for conditions relative to “normal.” Solar radiation, wind, and humidity data are hard to put into a climatological (or long-term) perspective since recorded data is relatively new (only about 15 years of data at most stations). Thus, climatological data are limited for the animal comfort index. If you need historical data, please contact our staff at Kansas-wdl@ksu.edu, and we’d be glad to pull older data that may exist.

If you want to read more about the Forecast or Current Conditions pages, please visit https://mesonet.ksu.edu/agriculture/animal and scroll down to the “Resources” tab.


Christopher “Chip” Redmond, Kansas Mesonet Manager
christopherredmond@ksu.edu

Matthew Sittel, Assistant State Climatologist
msittel@ksu.edu